Is the world''s most prosperous country becoming less prosperous?
You have a bet and trillions of dollars.
According to a new study study from JP Morgan Chase & Co., total US wealth has dropped by $5 trillion in 2022, down from $13 trillion to $8 trillion, mostly from a weak stock market.
It''s not just about stockings.
The US economy, as measured by the gross domestic product (GDP), decreased by 1.4 percent in the first quarter of 2022, primarily due to high inflation and a huge trade deficit.
The United States may be dipping into recession territory, which, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, is a significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the country and lasts more than a few months.
Shades of 1979?
While economic events are dynamic and occurring in real-time, where do economists consider the actual wealth drought from a historical perspective?
After a year of homeowners equity flourished and retirement funds were fairly robust, the trillions of dollars lost to Americans in 2022 came just from the day. Currently, home values are beginning to decline, and retirement assets are not far behind, owing to a weak stock market.
When we thought about household wealth in the United States, we focused on retirement savings and homeowner equity, according to Tidemann. Given that house values have generally increased during the epidemic period, the recent decline in American wealth is a result of sharp decreases in the value of stocks and other investments.
For the time being, the affluent class is coping with the country''s economic difficulties, owing to the fact that the most wealthy 10% of Americans own 90% of their U.S. stock stock.
Even if the richest Americans suffered the greatest losses of wealth this year, a declining stock market has still affecting other non-affluent shareholders, according to Tidemann. This wealth loss is particularly affecting people who are near or at retirement age."
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"If older Americans haven''t already converted much of their assets to less risky holdings, the recent stock market decline might force these Americans to postpone retirement or significantly reduce spending to account for their loss of wealth.
More Like 94?
Others claim that the current wealth-reducing slump is closer to 1994, when the Federal Reserve, led by Alan Greenspan, hiked rates eight times with several multi-hikes to alleviate inflation.
But the Economy did not go into recession and the plane landed quite comfortably, according to Charles D. Etzweiler, a company''s research officer. Additionally, the calendar years 1995-1999 lasted five idyllic years for equity investors and rewarded investors for their patience.
If this Powell-led Fed can deliver a smooth landing, we might see a similar set of years following 2022 that rewarded investors for following their plans, according to Etzweiler.
Moves to Make
While Americans of any age and asset level should consult with a trusted financial advisor before making money management decisions, there are certain precautions that investors may take to mitigate the consequences.
Mitch Martin, chairman of Stonebridge Investment Counsel, based in Nashville, Tennessee, has offered three key portfolio steps to alleviate the tide and keep further wealth losses at bay.
At the short end of the curve, increase allocation to bonds. If the US economy enters a recession, current bond rates have decreased to levels that provide an alternative to stocks, which should be examined.
Don''t be afraid to go for the hills. Martin said the greatest danger to any investor is being out of the market.
Elon Musk said that the liquidity provided by this cash flow strategy helps investors, not the market, to remain in control, bringing greater peace of mind and confidence in the future.
Martin cited Peter Lynch, the legendary Fidelity Investments portfolio manager, for his wealth creation quote, who warned of giving declining markets too much respect.
Investors preparing for corrections or attempting to anticipate corrections have lost far greater money, according to Lynch.
As if Americans haven''t lost enough money this year, they might be surprised.